|Project||Estimated Beneficiaries||Estimated Benefits|
|Energy and Environment Project (EEP)||340,000||$10,000,000.00|
|North-South Road Project||558,400(168,900 people for the Choir-Sainshand section, 222,700 people for the UB-Nalaikh section and 166,800 people for the Bayanzurkh bridge section over the next 20 years)||$126,000,000.00|
|Property Rights Project||59,004||$54,800,000.00|
|Vocational Education Project (TVET)||170,000||$51,000,000.00|
The above estimates are based in the best, currently available, information and may be updated if new, reliable, data are available.
The total beneficiary count for the Compact may not be the sum of the different project beneficiary counts because of overlaps between Projects. In other words, some beneficiaries benefit from more than one project but are counted only once in the total beneficiary count.
Total benefits expected from each project are obtained from the ERR analysis MCC conducts during due diligence. Beneficiary counts, although consistent with benefit streams identified in the economic analysis, are not necessarily derived from these models (which are concerned with costs and benefits rather than beneficiaries). MCC estimates and reports expected beneficiaries when sufficiently reliable data exists to support the estimation. If such evidence is lacking, no estimation is attempted, resulting in an underestimation of projected beneficiaries for the Compact. Calculating the amount of benefit per beneficiary would therefore give an overestimation and can be misleading.
|Energy and Environment Project (EEP)||
Increase wealth and productivity through greater fuel use efficiency and decreasing health costs from air pollution in Ulaanbaatar by,
Increase the adoption of behaviors that reduce non-communicable diseases and injuries (NCDIs) among target populations and improve medical treatment and control of NCDIs through:
|Property Rights Project||
Increase the security and capitalization of land assets held by lower-income Mongolians, and increase peri-urban herder productivity and incomes by:
|North-South Road Project||
Create more efficient transport for trade and access to services through,
|Vocational Education Project (TVET)||
Increase employment and income among unemployed and underemployed Mongolians by:
Projected Results by End of Compact
The Mongolia Compact aims to achieve the results below by the end of the compact in September 2013:
- Increase immovable property values of hashaa plots in Ulaanbaatar by 13%;
- Increase dairy yield of cows for project herder groups (amount of increase under review);
- Increase the employment rate of technical vocational graduates from 71% to 75% and increase annual salary of TVET graduates from $1,237 to $1,336.
- Decreased prevalence of high salt intake, high blood sugar, and hypertension. (Amount of decrease of each undetermined)
- Increased treatment of diabetes and hypertension. (Amount of increase undetermined)
- Decrease Travel Time on the North-South road segments from 13 hours 50 minutes to 8 hours 20 minutes
- Decrease estimated health costs from air pollution in Ulaanbaatar. (Amount of increase undetermined)
Results to Date
Information on results to date is available in the Table of Key Performance Indicators (a subset of the full set monitored under the Mongolia Monitoring and Evaluation Plan). The full set of performance indicators is detailed in the Monitoring and Evaluation Plan.
Impact Evaluation Framework
In addition to careful monitoring of implementation performance and measurement of preliminary results, MCC is funding independent evaluations of the Property Rights and Vocational Education Projects that will assess what would have happened in the absence of the MCC investments and measure the gains in incomes that can be attributed specifically to MCC-funded activities. Information on these evaluations can be found in the Monitoring and Evaluation Plan.