|Project||Estimated Beneficiaries||Estimated Benefits|
|Road Rehabilitation Project||302,000||$137,000,000|
|Transition to High Value Agriculture Project||112,000||$123,000,000|
The above estimates are based in the best, currently available, information and may be updated if new, reliable, data are available.
The total beneficiary count for the Compact may not be the sum of the different project beneficiary counts because of overlaps between Projects. In other words, some beneficiaries benefit from more than one project but are counted only once in the total beneficiary count.
Total benefits expected from each project are obtained from the ERR analysis MCC conducts during due diligence. Beneficiary counts, although consistent with benefit streams identified in the economic analysis, are not necessarily derived from these models (which are concerned with costs and benefits rather than beneficiaries). MCC estimates and reports expected beneficiaries when sufficiently reliable data exists to support the estimation. If such evidence is lacking, no estimation is attempted, resulting in an underestimation of projected beneficiaries for the Compact. Calculating the amount of benefit per beneficiary would therefore give an overestimation and can be misleading.
|Road Rehabilitation Project||
(i) increase incomes of the local population by reducing the cost of transport, goods and services; (ii) reduce losses to the national economy resulting from deteriorated road conditions; and (iii) reduce the number of road accidents through improved traffic conditions.
|Transition to High Value Agriculture Project||
(i) Increase rural incomes by stimulating growth in irrigated high value agriculture; and (ii) catalyze future investments in high value agriculture by establishing a successful and sustainable model of irrigation system and water resource management and a conducive institutional and policy environment for irrigated agriculture. by:
Projected Results by End of Compact
The Moldova Compact aims to achieve the results below by the end of the compact in September 2015:
- The Transition to High Value Agriculture Project will entail an economic rate of return of approximately 12.7 percent, and increase the incomes of approximately 32,000 households (or approximately 124,000 individuals), with an average total benefit over 20 years equal to 170 percent of the beneficiaries’ current annual income.
- The Road Rehabilitation Project will have an economic rate of return of approximately 19 percent and benefit a population of approximately 78,000 households (or approximately 302,000 beneficiaries), over the next 20 years.
Results to Date
Information on results to date is available in the Table of Key Performance Indicators (a subset of the full set monitored under the Moldova Monitoring and Evaluation Plan).
Impact Evaluation Framework
In addition to careful monitoring of implementation performance and measurement of preliminary results, MCC may fund several independent evaluations to assess what would have happened in the absence of the MCC investments and measure impacts that can be attributed specifically to MCC-funded activities. More information will be available in the Post- Compact Monitoring and Evaluation Plan and on MCC’s Impact Evaluation web site.